History professor Yohuru Williams speaks with Galen Druke about how the protest movement sparked by George Floyd's murder compares with past social justice movements. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government,American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. Lastly, the team analyzes how the educational divide is shaping American politics. The crew debates the value of polling whether Americans want Biden and Trump to run again in 2024. 91.5 Chapel Hill 88.9 Manteo 90.9 Rocky Mount 91.1 Welcome 91.9 Fayetteville 90.5 Buxton 94.1 Lumberton 99.9 Southern Pines January 23, 2023 Examined What comes next after Texas school shooting? Although much of our elections-related attention is already trained on 2024, there are consequential elections happening this very calendar year. FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News (US) Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. The crew debates whether the Democratic Party really is actually in disarray as it struggles to pass legislation and faces a difficult midterm year, or if its hurdles are usual for any party in power. In this installment of Model Talk on the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke are joined by two climate modelers and authors of the latest IPCC report, Friederike Otto and Baylor Fox-Kemper. Galen Druke and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discuss the messages that Senators sent and whether we were able to glean anything about what kind of Justice Jackson would be. As of this writing, we still dont know which party will control the House or Senate, and we may not know come the morning. The crew speaks with professors Jane Junn and Karthick Ramakrishnan about the context of the Atlanta attacks and how Asian-American political participation has evolved in recent decades. The crew discusses the role partisanship has played in Americans' assessment of risk and their behavior during the pandemic. Download this theme at theoneamradio.bandcamp.com/track/whatspoint-theme. FiveThirtyEight Politics 199 Episodes Share Follow Episodes About 61 minutes | Feb 27, 2023 How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear To mark a year since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. With the benefit of hindsight and some time to breathe, Galen Druke reflects on key moments of the 2020 race with the authors of the new book, Lucky: How Joe Biden Barely Won The Presidency. In the wake of the January 6th attack on the Capitol, academics and journalists have increasingly taken the possibility of future political violence in America seriously. The crew hosts its first-ever 2024 Republican primary draft (they plan to follow up next week with a 2024 Democratic primary draft). Today those numbers have flipped. Upload your Podcast as an audio or video file to Type Studio in our menu. On the Conversations with Tyler podcast, produced by the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, celebrated polymath and academic economist Tyler Cowen explores the minds and methods of today's top thinkers. Above, storm clouds over downtown Laramie, Wyo., on Aug. 13, 2022. Thirty-six governors seats are up for election this fall and the crew looks at some where full control of state government might be decided by the governors race. Together they describe why the war has not turned out as originally expected, what the risks of escalation are today and how the conflict might come to an end. Rev. In this show, Jody Avirgan, Nicole Hemmer and Kellie Carter Jackson (and guests) take one moment, big or small, from that day in U.S. political history and explore how it might inform our present -- all in about fifteen minutes. What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast In Part 2 of this podcast, the crew asks why House Speaker Kevin McCarthy has declined to call Rep. George Santos to resign and considers a poll showing that 60% of his district's voters want him to. 10 Wednesday AM Reads. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government, Why Original Predictions About The War In Ukraine Were So Off. The crew discusses how Bidens approval rating may impact the midterm election, whether tracking Google search terms over time is a better barometer than traditional polling, and how Black voters are changing the political landscape of Georgia. It's easy. The crew discusses how the scandals surrounding Walker have evolved over the course of his Senate campaign and how the latest could affect the outcome of the race. The Gabfest, featuring Emily Bazelon, John Dickerson, and David Plotz, is the kind of informal and irreverent discussion Washington journalists have Galen Druke discusses the context of these laws with Theodore Johnson, the Director of the Fellows Program at the Brennan Center for Justice. The crew talks about the threat of a government shutdown and debt default, as well as how likely it is that Democrats get their legislative priorities passed. In the main event, former light They also review the mostly finalized congressional maps for the cycle and discuss new polling on American polarization. March 1, 2023 6:30am by Barry Ritholtz. They also consider how Rep. George Santoss scandals will affect his tenure in Congress and whether he would have been elected at all if his fabricated biography had received more scrutiny during the campaign. 01:00 PM. 00:14:18 - Federal health agencies asked states to pause in their use of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine while U.S. officials investigate reports of an extre Plus, they debate the best way to ask Americans about their political identity. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. At the beginning of the millennium, about two-thirds of Americans opposed same-sex marriage, and a third supported it. Galen Druke speaks with political science professors Sunshine Hillygus and Patrick Eagan about the history of wedge issues and how they shape U.S. politics. They also talk about what states are doing with their billions in excess cash and look into opinion polling on the U.S.s involvement in Ukraine. The conventional wisdom is that if former President Trump wants the Republican presidential nomination in 2024, it's his. Good Contents Are Everywhere, But Here, We Deliver The Best of The Best.Please Hold on! The FiveThirtyEight 2022 midterms forecast is live, and it shows that Republicans are strong favorites to win the House while the Senate is a toss up between the two parties. The crew discusses Manchins rationale and where Democrats might go from here. President Bidens $2 trillion social spending and climate change agenda is in its most tenuous position yet after West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin announced that he will not support the Build Back Better Plan. The U.S. shot down at least three unidentified flying objects over the weekend. The crew previews Californias primaries, which offer unique insight into the divides within the Democratic Party. Posted by October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts If you don't already have iTunes, you can download it here. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The crew discusses how Russias invasion of Ukraine is affecting U.S. politics and the RAND Corportation's Samuel Charap joins to explain the root of Russia's aggression. Make sure you select the language your Podcast episode is recorded in when uploading your audio. They also discuss shifting American views on foreign policy and the status of the infrastructure and budget bills currently being considered in the Senate. Galen and Nate discuss the reasons for Republicans' improvement in the forecast. Dec. 7, 2017 | Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS 03 / Black Representation In North Carolina The debate over how districts should be drawn to ensure that minority voters are represented in Congress. Nate and Galen open the mailbag and answer listeners' questions about politics, polling and anything else on their minds. Sign up to get unlimited songs and podcasts with occasional ads. We also look at the future of inflation with economist Kenneth Rogoff. The crew discusses how Liz Cheney and Madison Cawthorn's primaries serve as a test of what the Republican Party and its voters will and wont accept. Pew Research has released its verified voter survey, looking at how different groups within the electorate voted in 2020. They also take stock of how Americans are thinking about climate change and government initiatives to stem carbon emissions, after President Biden announced a goal of cutting U.S. emissions to half their 2005 levels by 2030. Transcripts by Erin Wade. Georgians handed control of the Senate to Democrats in a pair of dramatic runoffs and voted for a Democrat for president for the first time in 28 years. Galen Druke speaks with POLITICO Europe's Cornelius Hirsch and Clea Caulcutt about the dynamics at play in the French presidential election. But that doesnt stop us from talking about what we do know: that Republicans didnt make major gains in the Senate, and that the polls were pretty good this cycle. The crew looks at how some of the most competitive primaries in 2022 are shaping up. The crew recaps that race and other notable results from the June 14 primaries. No place like 'Nam. With the data from the most recent term in hand, the crew discusses how far to the right the Supreme Court has gone. They also touch on the health of the polling industry and how much Biden's success in a potential 2024 primary hangs on Democrats' performance at the midterms. Then the crew explains why they consider four competitive U.S. House districts to be bellwether elections for which party will win control of the House. Nate Silver's. File Upload. How FiveThirtyEight Calculates Pollster Ratings. Today, we wanted to share the first episode of the ABC News podcast series, "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson," which uncovers the former first lady's surprisingly powerful role in the Johnson presidency and includes history-making revelations about Lyndon B. Johnsons time in office. They also address concerns that the 2020 Census resulted in an undercount of Latinos. They also ask whether we should be skeptical of polls showing Democrats performing well in parts of the Midwest where polls have repeatedly underestimated Republicans. The board of directors voted Friday to accept the resignation of David Held, effective June 1, and will then offer him the same job on . The crew discusses the value of a bipartisan strategy, the motivations behind it and the likelihood of Congress reaching a compromise. The crew discusses how a bipartisan gun control deal was reached and if this unwritten legislation could be passed by the end of the year. The question is whether Mississippis law banning most abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy is constitutional. Just another site fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. By May 21, 2021 0 . Legal scholar Kate Shaw also digs into some of the specifics of the terms major cases, particularly on election law. Local news is disappearing across the country. Former FDA commissioner Scott Gottlieb joins the podcast to discuss Americas unpreparedness for COVID-19 and how the country should prepare for the next pandemic. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. With one week left until Election Day, the crew analyzes some of the high-profile races and which issues Americans care about most as they enter the voting booth. FiveThirtyEight Politics 3 days ago Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided. FiveThirtyEight's COVID-19 podcast is laser-focused on evidence. The crew asks whether Biden's approval rating could be boosted by the American Rescue Plan and how popular he'd have to be to avoid a backlash at the midterms. The team assesses New York Governor Andrew Cuomo's political future after a report from the New York Attorney General concluded that he sexually harassed 11 women. Senior writer and legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discusses how the Justices approached the question and what Americans think about abortion policy. This is the final FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast episode of the Trump presidency. The first half of this episode originally aired on November 5, 2018, and was produced by Dan Pashman, Anne Saini, and Aviva DeKornfeld, with editing by Gianna Palmer and mixing by Dan Dzula. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate and Galen reflect on the many twists and turns of the 2022 campaign so far, including the most salient policy issues and what the final results could tell us about pollsters performance this cycle. The crew looks at the issues that have shaped the Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial races and rounds up some of the other local races and ballot measures around the country. In her new book How Civil Wars Start And How To Stop Them, Barbara F Walter writes we are now closer to civil war than any of us would like to believe. They also assess how polls performed in 2019 and 2020 in general, with the benefit of hindsight and updated pollster ratings. The crew reacts to Senator Raphael Warnock's win in the Georgia Senate runoff. They also consider why Republican senators' votes on convicting former President Donald Trump broke down the way they did. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. 04:58 PM. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson joins the crew to discuss a new survey that categorizes voters into at least four ideological quadrants and tries to imagine how voters would align if America were a multi-party democracy. Accuracy is not guaranteed. Nevada Democrats introduced a bill on Monday that would change their state's presidential nominating contest from a caucus to a primary and also dislodge New Hampshire from its position as the first primary in the nation. Crime analyst Jeff Asher discussed what those numbers can -- and can't -- tell us, and explains the challenges in collecting crime data. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate and Galen discuss a recently published assessment of how our 2022 midterm forecast performed. All rights reserved. In this live taping of Model Talk in Washington, D.C., Nate and Galen break down the current forecasts for the Senate, House and gubernatorial races. The crew discusses why the Republican National Committee chose to censure Representatives Cheney and Kinzinger and how different parts of the party view the violent events of January 6th, 2021. In Kim Barker's memory, the city of Laramie . Politics Podcast: Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless', Politics Podcast: How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear, Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine. Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. FiveThirtyEight Politics The Gerrymandering Project: California . James Acton is a physicist and co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Its October and the surprises are rolling in. The crew, joined by ABC News White House Correspondent Karen Travers, discusses Trump's legacy, how he changed politics and what the lasting effects will be. The website, which takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college, was founded on March 7, 2008, as a polling aggregation website with a blog created by analyst Nate Silver. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Arkansas and Minnesota. The crew looks to the speeches from the past weekend's Conservative Political Action Conference for indications about where the Republican party is headed. Max Fisher, author of the new book, "The Chaos Machine: The Inside Story of How Social Media Rewired Our Minds and Our World," speaks with Galen about the impacts of social media on politics globally and in the U.S. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The crew previews what to expect on Election Day and listens to some of the most common types of campaign ads aired this cycle. They also debate how reliable exit polls are in determining what motivates voters and consider how Democrats were able to overcome intra-party disagreements to pass a $1 trillion infrastructure bill. This is why we are coming every fortnight on your podcast platforms to help you make sense of the new and now. In her new book, Limitless: The Federal Reserve Takes On A New Age Of Crisis, New York Times reporter Jeanna Smialek focuses on another unelected institution with a lot of power over American life: the Federal Reserve. Overall, more moderate candidates were able to win against challengers from the Right and Left flank of both parties, although there was a sizable protest vote in some instances. Galen and Nate open the mailbag to answer listeners questions about politics, polling and more. They also look at the politics of two hot button issues in the Senate and speak with Carlos Odio of Equis Research about how Latino voters are viewing the two parties in 2022. The crew discuss the 2021 gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey and the very likely recall election in California. They also introduce a new FiveThirtyEight collaboration with Ipsos aimed at polling Americans about the issues they care most about in the run up to the midterms. Raffensperger's new book is called Integrity Counts.". Tester faces a tough bid, but don't sleep on Brown being the weaker of the two. This is the first episode. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the news events and polling that have contributed to that change. They also consider the causes of hyperinflation, as Democrats and Republicans blame different culprits for the highest rate of inflation in 40 years. Nate Silver and Galen Druke open the mailbag and answer listener questions, including how much it would cost to "fix polling" and why Vice President Harris is polling less favorably than President Biden. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The crew discusses how the Supreme Court may change once Breyer a more moderate Justice among the Liberals retires. They also check in on where the redistricting process stands around the country and ask what the two parties should be thankful for this Thanksgiving. 11:03 AM. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. Welcome to Internet Archive TV News! Bot Love was created by Diego Senior. They also scrutinize a new survey that suggests most Americans think "The West Wing" and other political TV shows are reflective of how politics works. Happy holidays! The full series is available now on Apple Podcasts (https://apple.co/2QQw8e9), Spotify (https://spoti.fi/3ukYgoq), or wherever you listen by searching "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson." The crew debates which states should vote first in the presidential primaries if the Iowa caucuses were to go away. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, but its not the only one. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the best way to poll Americans satisfaction with their own lives and the direction of the country. Trump Is Setting A Dangerous Precedent For American Democracy 240 views To mark a year since Russias full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. The cofounders of Equis Research -- a political data firm focused on Latino voters -- share their research on why that swing happened. The crew discusses why Bidens favorability is falling and how much Democrats should worry about it. They also look back at 2021, try to pinpoint the most consequential political events of the year and discuss how their understanding of American politics was challenged. They consider how much. apache saddles amarillo texas shockwave treatment for gallstones in the philippines price The crew analyzes new polling suggesting Americans support enforcing a no-fly zone over Ukraine and banning the purchase of Russian oil even if it increases gas prices. Millions of people were without power or heat, and in some cases water, in freezing cold temperatures for days because of severe blackouts. The crew discusses the races to watch in Tuesday night's primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Oregon and Kentucky. @Nate_Cohn: The Democrats are putting up an impressive showing in VA-4, the first special congressional election of the cycle. Why 10 Republicans Voted For Impeachment 300 views about 2 years ago 34:52 Galen speaks with him. Legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux speaks with Galen Druke about the Justices' arguments for overturning Roe v. Wade, where the legal debate goes next and how this contrasts and complements American opinion on abortion. The crew debates whether a poll asking Americans which animals they could take on is a fight is a "good or bad use of polling." Democratic representative from California Adam Schiff discusses why he thinks American democracy is in trouble, which he lays out in his new book "Midnight In Washington: How We Almost Lost Our Democracy And Still Could.".

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